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Portland, OR, saw an increase in migrants from expensive West Coast cities in the fourth quarter :REAL ESTATE

The affordable cities of Phoenix, Sacramento, Las Vegas and Atlanta continued to dominate the list of top migration destinations.

26 percent of Redfin.com house seekers wanted to move to another metropolitan region in the fourth quarter of 2019, compared to 25 percent in the same period last year. This is the all-time high for the national share of relocation seekers set in the third quarter of 2019. The latest migration analysis is based on a sample of more than 1 million Redfin.com users looking for homes in 87 subway areas from October to December.

Entry – US metros attract most migrants

Portland, Oregon again took a place in the top 10 list of metropolitan areas with the highest net influx of Redfin users, and came in seventh after dropping out of the list in the first quarter of 2019. Nashville was also a newcomer to the top 10 this month. At number 10, both San Diego and Charlotte fell out of the top 10. A net influx means more people are looking to move in than a deduction, while a net influx means more people are looking for Search for deduction as for indent

Phoenix moved back to first place in the fourth quarter after slipping to third place in the third quarter. Boston’s reign as number one was short-lived: after a quarter at the top, he dropped to ninth place.

At just $ 400,000, Portland has one of the cheapest average home prices among major cities on the west coast. This makes it an attractive location for locals from other more expensive cities on the west coast such as San Francisco (average price $ 1.32 million) in Seattle ($ 572,500) and Los Angeles ($ 649,000).

Origin Metro Median price, December 2019 Share of migration to Portland, 4th quarter 2019
San Francisco, CA. $ 1,322,500 27.8%
Seattle, WA $ 572,500 15.3%
Los Angeles, California $ 649,000 13.1%
Eugene, OR $ 325,000 8.1%
New York, NY $ 488,000 4.0%
San Diego, CA. $ 581,000 2.7%
Sacramento, CA. $ 410,000 2.3%

“The ability to work remotely is a big factor in relocations, particularly in the same time zone,” said Portland Redfin agent Megan Warren. “I just met a buyer who moved here from Oakland in the spring. Working remotely, he can sell his condominium in a less desirable part of the Bay Area for over $ 500,000 and earn a serious upgrade to space, security, and the neighborhood in the Portland region. “

Table: Top 10 metros by net inflow of users and their main origin
rank metro* Net inflow 2019 Q4 2018 net inflow Q4 Part of user searches outside Metro 2019 Q4 Part of searches from users outside Metro 2018 Q4 Top origin Top out-of-state origin
1 Phoenix, AZ 6,509 5,254 33.9% 33.1% Los Angeles, California Los Angeles, California
2 Sacramento, CA. 5,675 5,988 44.1% 42.3% San Francisco, CA. Seattle, WA
3 Las Vegas, NV 5,660 3,178 46.8% 42.0% Los Angeles, California Los Angeles, California
4 Atlanta, GA 5,377 4,669 27.2% 26.7% New York, NY New York, NY
5 Austin, TX 4,038 3,029 32.3% 29.4% San Francisco, CA. San Francisco, CA.
6 Dallas, TX 3.420 2804 25.6% 24.0% Los Angeles, California Los Angeles, California
7 Portland, OR 3402 4,088 18.6% 20.1% San Francisco, CA. San Francisco, CA.
8th Tampa, FL 2904 2,292 53.3% 53.1% Orlando, FL New York, NY
9 Boston, MA 2,874 2,451 13.9% 13.3% New York, NY New York, NY
10 Nashville, TN 2,864 2,371 34.9% 33.2% New York, NY New York, NY
* Combined statistical areas with at least 500 users in the fourth quarter of 2019
† Negative values ​​indicate a net outflow; among the one million users who were only interviewed for this analysis

Extract – US metros lose most migrants

Some of the most expensive areas in the country dominated the list of negative migration metros. New York, San Francisco, Los Angeles and Washington, DC were among the cities with the largest number of people who wanted to move away in the fourth quarter.

“The current inventory crisis did not begin until the fourth quarter, and property prices in the expensive coastal cities rose again after a slight delay at the beginning of the year,” said Redfin chief economist Daryl Fairweather. “As prices rise again in these areas, we expect migration to more affordable areas to increase, which in turn will drive prices up there as well.”

Table: Top 10 metros according to the net number of users and their top destinations
rank metro* Net outflow 2019 Q4 Net outflow 2018 Q4 Part of local users looking elsewhere 2019 Q4 Part of local users looking elsewhere 2018 Q4 Top Destination Top out-of-state goal
1 San Francisco, CA. 28560 28973 23.0% 23.4% Sacramento, CA. Seattle, WA
2 New York, NY 28,500 22.263 37.1% 35.6% Boston, MA Boston, MA
3 Los Angeles, California 16.271 14679 16.6% 16.6% San Diego, CA. Phoenix, AZ
4 Washington, D.C. 6339 5.258 11.1% 10.6% Philadelphia, PA Philadelphia, PA
5 Chicago, IL 3,616 2,477 10.4% 9.4% Phoenix, AZ Phoenix, AZ
6 Denver, CO 3004 2,558 23.7% 23.8% Seattle, WA Seattle, WA
7 Hartford, CT 1.323 1,057 69.8% 75.9% Boston, MA Boston, MA
8th Milwaukee, WI 1,030 708 38.5% 38.6% Chicago, IL Chicago, IL
9 Houston, Texas 558 451 25.8% 26.5% Austin, TX Los Angeles, California
10 Detroit, MI 524 114 22.1% 20.6% Grand Rapids, MI Chicago, IL
* Combined statistical areas with at least 500 users in the fourth quarter of 2019
† Among the one million users surveyed only for this analysis

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